November 02, 2004
Gauging The Victory
After studying Matt Gross's summary, here's the skinny on the election returns. If the EV score is tighter than 75-3 (Bush over Kerry) before 5pm PST, then we have an easy night for Kerry.Otherwise, the pressure points are making sure Kerry gets PA and NJ at 5pm, watching OH at 4, FL at 5, and the Arkansas hail mary at 5:30.
If there's no clear good surprises for Kerry by then, then we have a tight night. Eek.
The most common prediction for the Democrat pundits is that Kerry duplicates the Gore states, while also getting FL and NH.
I think that's boring. I want blowout.
Home in between my first and second precinct stops. From my very informal and totally unscientific exit polls at Century Village in Boca Raton, 98% Kerry, 95% Betty Castor-US Senate.
Landslide is what I want...a veritable landslide so no one can mistake the fact that we Floridians want K/E in the White House. As for GWB, he can go back to Crawford and recover from all his 'hard work'.
I Want My Country Back!
Posted by: Kath at November 2, 2004 05:45 AMKath, I so love that you're on the case! I haven't checked your blog yet today, but keep us posted!!
:)
Posted by: doc. at November 2, 2004 08:17 AMStranger! Thought aliens kidnapped you! Kept checking your blog but nothing...then several times I got a site down msg..glad to know that life is the only reason you've been away. Will relink to you asap.
Ok-politics. I really wanna say the L word...SO MANY PEOPLE are for K/E & Castor. At the 3rd precinct I hung out at, 10 of the Kerryites were ALL former Repubs...voting as Dems for the first time...campaigning for a Dem for the first time in their lives. I'm talking 70,80,90 year olds. Humbling experience. Did visibility at 4 precincts in all, from 7a to just now with 2 come home breaks to blog. This is history in the making and I have a front row seat.
Tunesmith, thanks for letting me hijack this thread...see what becoming a blogger can do to a person?? :-)
Posted by: Kath at November 2, 2004 03:55 PM